The 12th annual Israel Journey took place yesterday in Tel Aviv. Organized by Ernst & Young and Globes, the conference provided VCs, investors, entrepreneurs and others in the industry with an update on the current economy and what is likely still to come during the different sessions.
Pessimism and optimism were discouraged throughout the event and realism was preached – a reality that the keynote speaker, Harry S. Dent explained would be grim not for 2009, but for the time period after that. Dent, a renowned economist and writer, illustrated through his trademark heavy use of charts how the best indicators for what will happen to the economy in the next few years and over a much longer period of time comes from lifecycle spending charts and the birth index, among others. While it provides some comfort to understand why there is a slowdown and that things will eventually pick up, the time frame that Dent gave, 2020-2020, extends the period longer than expected and marks 2010-2012 as likely to resemble a depression.
After the darkness of a depression and the 2010s in general though, Dent showed charts on innovation predictions and predicted that if Israel, which has been an innovation hotbed in recent years and has a positive population growth chart, plays its cards right, it can come out of a worldwide economic downturn ahead of the other developing countries. While A LOT needs to happen and not to happen for that to be a
reality, Israel’s innovation and leadership in such areas as robotics,
nanotech and cleantech, makes it a relatively strong possibility.
Whether or not Dent’s forecasts turn out to be true, it’s almost certain that there will be a light at the end of the tunnel for many of Israel’s innovative companies, even if Israel won’t come out on top.
What do you think? Share your thoughts in the comments below.
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